A small increase in the number of people with Covid being admitted to hospital has given rise to speculation that another coronavirus wave might be about to hit England.

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NHS figures released on Tuesday showed weekly hospital admissions had risen by 4% across England as of 5 June and were up by 33% in the North East and Yorkshire, reported The Independent. Analysis by John Roberts, of the Covid Actuaries group, found it was likely that England was moving back to a “growth scenario”.

Further afield, several nations are braced for a fresh surge of cases. USA Today said America is “undergoing a sixth wave”, The Times of Israel said the nation’s “coronavirus czar” believes Israel to be at the start of a new wave of infections, and the South China Morning Post said Singapore could experience its next wave in July or August.

Increased ICU admissions

Asked if the latest UK data meant the nation was heading into another wave of Covid, Roberts told The Independent: “Yes we could be but… how big that wave and how serious it will be in terms of admissions and deaths is very, very difficult to judge at this stage.”

The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control predicted last month that there could be a new wave driven by the increase in the BA.4 and BA.5 variants, with a “significant overall increase” in Covid cases in Europe “in the coming weeks and months”.

The body said that “based on the limited data currently available, no significant increase in infection severity compared to the circulating lineages BA.1 and BA.2 is expected” but “as in previous waves, if Covid case numbers increase substantially, some level of increased hospital and ICU admissions is likely to follow”.

People who have previously avoided Covid would be more likely to catch it in a future wave, say experts, due to relaxed restrictions and “pandemic fatigue” leading to less cautious behaviour.

Reinfections would also be more common. In previous waves, people were mostly susceptible to reinfection only from a new variant, but Omicron subvariants are better at evading immunity from a previous infection.

The latest data

According to government data, 36,418 people tested positive between 28 …read more

Source:: The Week – All news


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